AI Prompt - Analyze a Stock for 10x

This is the only ChatGPT prompt I use to analyze a stock.

It’s how I identified early winners like
$RKLB $ASTS $ONDS $IREN

Copy and run this prompt If you’re hunting 10× stocks.

Prompt:

Act as a buy-side equity analyst allocating real capital.
Help me decide whether [TICKER] deserves capital NOW, LATER, or NOT AT ALL.

Be concise. Be skeptical. Prioritize signal over noise.
Assume capital is scarce and opportunity cost matters.

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1) What does this company actually do? (Explain like I’m 12)
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- What it sells
- Who pays
- One simple analogy (1 line)

If it can’t be explained simply, say so.

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2) Strip away the story — what is this business?
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(MAX 6–8 sentences)
- Core product/service (today, not the vision)
- How it makes money
- Main competitors (tickers)
- Why customers choose this vs others
- Any real moat (or clearly say “none”)
- If biotech: FDA-approved / commercial / clinical (stage)

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3) The market’s narrative (and why it exists)
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(One table only)
- Core theme investors believe
- Why it matters NOW (timing)
- What could surprise the market (upside or downside)

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4) What does the market already believe?
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(3–4 bullets)
- What’s already priced in
- What outcomes would NOT move the stock
- Where expectations may be wrong

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5) What actually moved the stock recently?
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(Last 90 days — table)
- Date
- Event
- Why it mattered
- Source
Clearly mark TRUE price-moving events.

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6) What could move this stock next?
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(30–60 days ONLY)
- Earnings / guidance
- Product or customer launches
- Regulatory decisions
- Sector or macro catalysts

Exclude long-dated or speculative items.

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7) What are insiders and institutions doing?
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(Bullets)
- Insider buys/sells (CEO/founder emphasized)
- Institutional accumulation or distribution
- Any confidence or warning signals

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8) Is the stock leading or lagging?
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- Performance vs peers (30 days)
- Performance vs sector ETF
- Trend: leading / lagging / breaking

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9) Where this thesis breaks
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(MAX 4 bullets)
- What could go wrong
- What invalidates the thesis
- What bulls may be ignoring

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10) The 10× test (no excuses)
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Answer clearly:
- What MUST go right for a 10×?
- What early evidence confirms it’s working?
- What single event kills the 10×?
- Upside driver: TAM / margins / multiple / combination

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11) Capital decision
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- Classification: Trade / Starter / Conviction / Watchlist
- Time horizon: 30d / 3–6m / multi-year
- Position size if right: 1% / 3% / 5% (why)
- ONE event that would change this view

End with:
“This stock works if ____. It fails if ____.”

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Rules:
- Clear > clever
- Facts > hype
- Think like capital, not content
- If data is missing, say so explicitly

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Disclosure: For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. It reflects my personal opinions for research and discussion purposes only. I may hold positions mentioned and may change positions at any time without notice. Do your own research.